[ID] => 9750
[post_author] => 34
[post_date] => 2018-06-19 15:40:06
[post_date_gmt] => 2018-06-19 14:40:06
[post_content] => By Arend van Campen
When one observes the entropic, disorderly world around us, we often call it chaotic, coming from the word ‘chaos’, which in the ancient Greek actually means ‘emptiness or nothingness of the universe, from where the Gods emerged’. When we use entropy, meaning ‘disorder’ we arrive automatically at the expression to describe our world as being in chaos – something we all can watch in the daily news.
Author James Gleick, who wrote a mind-altering book titled Chaos, the third scientific revolution, described Chaos Theory as a way to understand that our world is not as predictable nor as controllable as mechanistic, empirical, so called linear sciences determine. In fact, it is the opposite of linearity - non-linearity - which I want to talk about in this column.
Our businesses, industries or organisations are often created as linear systems based on linear cause-and-effect expectations only. They are built along mathematics and modelling or Newtonian laws of physics. When something happens, we actually believe that when we just write more regulations, our system can be controllable again. But this is a false idea. We do have to realise that non-linearity could be causing unexpected and non-controllable effects.
Now, to understand this, we’d have to understand that so-called dynamic living systems, such as our organisations, can always be affected by tiny fluctuations which can lead to enormous consequences. Have you heard of the Butterfly Effect? When a butterfly flaps its wings in China, a thunderstorm in America can be the result. When Edward Lorenz, a mathematician by learning and a meteorologist by passion, tried to use deterministic computer modelling to predict the weather in a linear fashion, he was surprised that the outcomes of his research looked very different to what his computer had attempted to compute. Predictions according to universal laws of physics gave very different results, namely that tiny errors in calculations led to enormous errors. The experiment proved that any cause, direct or indirect, would interfere with reality. The assumption that small influences could be ignored ended. Systems Theory confirmed that everything is related to everything else.
Now, apply this insight to your organisation or company. When you see a truck driver park in the wrong manner to load a cargo, or you watch an operator doing the wrong thing, or understand that you did not sleep too much or that the food in the cafeteria is inedible or that the heating coils of shore tank number 3 are not working properly, but that you are pumping it out anyway because a customer demands it…. You will now have to think about the Butterfly Effect and accept that it is real and that ignoring it could lead to entropy and chaos.
You may now ask: ‘But how can we control it then?’ Well, you can’t. But what you can do is to use ‘Cybernetics’, with which you can build maximum resilience and variety into your system. Stephen Hawking was trying all his life to create a ‘Theory of Everything’. He understood why.
This is the latest in a series of articles by Arend van Campen, founder of TankTerminalTraining. More information on the company’s activities can be found at www.tankterminaltraining.com. Those interested in responding personally can contact him directly at email@example.com.
[post_title] => Learning by Training: Chaos
[post_status] => publish
[comment_status] => open
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[post_name] => learning-training-chaos
[post_modified] => 2018-06-19 14:26:56
[post_modified_gmt] => 2018-06-19 13:26:56
[post_parent] => 0
[guid] => https://www.hcblive.com/?p=9750
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Learning by Training: Chaos
// By Peter Mackay on 19 Jun 2018
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